Every year, in keeping with tradition I venture, with more or less success, to anticipate the main economic and geopolitical events of the coming year. The exercise is increasingly necessary: we need more and more powerful headlights to venture on a road increasingly icy surrounded by ravines deeper and deeper.
A news wire reminds us that nothing has been solved in Fukushima. Not only the radioactivity continues to expand; Not only radioactive wastes from the plant are still in a spent fuel pool in the wrong place unfortunately in case of another earthquake.
After the last summit of the European Union, which was a disaster for indebted countries, here comes the G20 summit, which seems to be not better.
This week while flying over the island shared by Haiti and the Dominican Republic, I thought about this reply of Bubbles, the pathetic drug dealer from the underbelly of Baltimore, discovering the affluent area of the same city, home of the ex-wife and the children of the police officer for whom is an informant in the fourth episode of the first season of one of my favorite American television series, The Wire…
American democracy, they say, is an ideal model. And since Tocqueville (who admired it, while detecting the risk of seeing it one day slip into dictatorship), few have ventured to criticize its constitutional principles. Each saw in particular a nearly perfect separation of powers in the interest of the country.
While the Greek crisis seems to move away, the arrival, in the rotating presidency of the European Union, of Poland, sends back to the close and mysterious relationship between money and defense in all human history.
All current events (financial crisis, climate, nuclear or military issues) send back to the need for a global Rule of Law. And therefore, for a new organization of the world.
